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CTV Advertising in 2026: Costs, Inventory Shifts, and What’s Actually Driving ROI

  • Writer: Juan Pablo Sanchez-Guadarrama
    Juan Pablo Sanchez-Guadarrama
  • Dec 30, 2025
  • 4 min read
Learn how Connected TV advertising works in 2026, what brands should expect to pay, how inventory is shifting, and what truly drives ROI in modern CTV campaigns.


ICTV Is No Longer “Emerging” — It’s the New Center of Gravity

Connected TV (CTV) has officially crossed the threshold from experimental to essential.

By 2026, CTV is no longer treated as an extension of digital video or a test budget borrowed from linear TV. It is now a core performance and brand channel, sitting at the intersection of storytelling, data, and measurable outcomes.


According to Statista, global CTV ad spend is projected to surpass $50 billion by 2026, driven by cord-cutting, ad-supported streaming, and improved measurement frameworks


Yet despite this growth, many brands still misunderstand:

  • What CTV actually costs

  • Why CPMs vary so widely

  • How inventory is changing

  • And what really determines ROI

This article breaks down the real economics of CTV in 2026—without hype, without outdated assumptions.



How CTV Advertising Actually Works in 2026

CTV vs OTT (Clarified)

CTV refers to the device and delivery environment—smart TVs, streaming devices, and in-app viewing on television screens.

OTT refers to the content delivery model—streaming video delivered over the internet, often consumed on CTV devices.

In practice, most CTV advertising today is programmatic OTT inventory delivered on connected TVs.

The distinction matters less than execution quality.



The State of CTV Inventory in 2026

Inventory Has Exploded — But Not Evenly

The rise of ad-supported tiers from major streaming platforms has dramatically expanded CTV inventory.

Key drivers include:

  • Netflix and Disney+ ad-supported plans

  • FAST (Free Ad-Supported Streaming TV) channels like Pluto TV and Tubi

  • Platform-native inventory from Roku, Amazon Fire TV, and Samsung

According to eMarketer, ad-supported streaming now accounts for more than 60% of total CTV ad inventory growth


Premium vs Commodity Inventory

Not all CTV inventory is equal.


Premium inventory typically includes:

  • High-production content

  • Brand-safe environments

  • Limited ad loads

  • Higher completion rates


Commodity inventory includes:

  • Long-tail apps

  • FAST channels with high ad density

  • Lower audience verification standards

Understanding this distinction is critical when evaluating cost and ROI.



CTV Advertising Costs in 2026: What Brands Should Expect

Typical CPM Ranges

In 2026, CTV CPMs generally fall into these ranges:

  • Premium CTV: $35–$60 CPM

  • Mid-tier CTV: $25–$40 CPM

  • FAST / Long-tail: $15–$25 CPM


(Source: Magnite + IAB Video Ad Spend Reports)

But CPM alone tells an incomplete story.



Why CPM Is the Wrong Primary Metric


Viewability and Completion Matter More

CTV ads are typically:

  • Non-skippable

  • Viewed on large screens

  • Watched with sound on

According to Nielsen, average CTV video completion rates exceed 90%, far outperforming desktop and mobile video


A $45 CPM with a 95% completion rate often delivers more impact than a $15 CPM with low attention.


Attention Is the New Currency

Attention metrics are increasingly used to evaluate CTV effectiveness.

GroupM reports that CTV delivers significantly higher attentive seconds per impression compared to other video formats

ROI is driven by impact per exposure, not just cost per thousand.



What Actually Drives ROI in CTV Campaigns

1. Audience Quality Over Scale

CTV ROI improves when targeting is based on:

  • First-party data

  • Household-level signals

  • Content adjacency

  • Predictive intent models

Broad demographic targeting wastes budget, even in premium environments.



2. Frequency Discipline

CTV frequency mismanagement is one of the biggest ROI killers.

Overexposure leads to:

  • Diminishing returns

  • Brand fatigue

  • Budget waste


According to the IAB, optimal CTV frequency typically ranges between 3–6 exposures per household per month, depending on campaign goals




3. Cross-Channel Reinforcement

CTV performs best when integrated with:

  • Search (intent capture)

  • Mobile (retargeting)

  • DOOH (physical-world reinforcement)

Google research shows that combining CTV with search increases branded search lift and conversion probability

CTV should be the story engine, not the only touchpoint.



Measurement in 2026: From Exposure to Business Impact

Incrementality Is Non-Negotiable

Attribution models based on last-click or view-through alone are no longer sufficient.

Incrementality testing answers the real question:Would this conversion have happened anyway?

According to the Association of National Advertisers, incrementality is now a required standard for evaluating video effectiveness



Brand Lift + Performance Lift

CTV measurement now combines:

  • Brand lift studies

  • Search lift analysis

  • Conversion lift testing

  • Foot traffic (where applicable)

Nielsen One enables unified cross-media measurement, helping brands understand how CTV contributes across the funnel




Common CTV Cost Myths (and Why They Persist)

“CTV Is Too Expensive”

Reality: Poor targeting and weak measurement make CTV appear expensive.

When optimized correctly, CTV often lowers blended CPA by improving downstream performance.

“CTV Is Only for Awareness”

False.

With proper integration, CTV influences:

  • Search behavior

  • Consideration

  • Conversion velocity

According to Google, video-assisted conversions play a measurable role in lower-funnel outcomes



How Buo Approaches CTV in 2026

At Buo, CTV is treated as a performance amplifier, not a standalone channel.

Strategic Planning

We align CTV with:

  • Business goals

  • Demand cycles

  • Inventory constraints

  • Margin realities

Inventory Selection

Buo prioritizes:

  • High-quality publishers

  • Controlled ad load environments

  • Transparent supply paths

Measurement Framework

Every CTV campaign includes:

  • Incrementality testing

  • Frequency governance

  • Cross-channel attribution logic

This ensures ROI is defensible, not assumed.



What Brands Should Ask Before Investing in CTV

  • How will success be measured beyond CPM?

  • What role does CTV play in the broader growth system?

  • How is frequency controlled across devices?

  • How does CTV influence search and conversion?

  • Is incrementality built into the plan?

If these questions can’t be answered clearly, the strategy isn’t ready.




CTV ROI Is Earned, Not Assumed


In 2026, CTV is no longer judged by novelty.


It is judged by:

  • Impact

  • Integration

  • Measurement

  • Business contribution


The brands that win with CTV understand that cost is not the enemy—inefficiency is.


At Buo, we design CTV strategies that earn attention, drive momentum, and prove value.

If you’re investing in CTV, make sure it’s working as hard as the rest of your growth engine.

 
 
 

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